AGNC_INVESTMENT_CORP Earningcall Transcript Of Q2 of 2024
Bernice E. Bell -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Thank you, Peter. For the second quarter, AGNC had a comprehensive loss of $0.13 per share given the moderate spread widening that occurred for the quarter. Economic return on tangible common equity was negative 0.9% for the quarter, comprised of $0.36 of dividends declared for common share and a decline in our tangible net book value of $0.44 per share. As of late last week, our tangible net book value per share was up about 2% for July or 1% after deducting our monthly dividend accrual. Leverage increased modestly for the quarter to 7.4 times tangible equity as of the end of Q2 from 7.1 times as of Q1. At the same time, our liquidity remained very strong with unencumbered cash and agency MBS of $5.3 billion or 65% of our tangible equity as of quarter end. Consistent with the increase in interest rates, the average projected life CPR for our portfolio at quarter end decreased 120 basis points to 9.2%. Seasonal factors drove an increase in our actual CPRs for the quarter to an average of 7.1%, up from 5.7% for the prior quarter. Net spread and dollar roll income for the quarter remained well above our dividend at $0.53 per share. The $0.05 per share decline for the quarter was due to a decrease in our net interest rate spread of approximately 30 basis points to just under 270 basis points for the quarter as higher swap costs more than offset the increase in the average yield on our asset portfolio. Lastly, in the second quarter, we issued $434 million of common equity through our aftermarket offering program. Our capital management framework provides us the ability to opportunistically create incremental value for existing stockholders through book value and earnings accretion. In the second quarter, we issued stock at a substantial price-to-book premium and invested those proceeds in attractively priced assets. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Chris Kuehl to discuss the agency mortgage market. Christopher Jon Kuehl -- Executive Vice President, Agency Portfolio Investments Thank you, Bernie. From a macro perspective, the second quarter was similar to the first quarter in many ways with economic data repricing Fed expectations and heavily influencing fixed income market sentiment. Strong economic data at the start of the quarter caused the market to lower its expectations for Fed easing in 2024. Fed rhetoric also turned hawkish in April with Chair Powell expressing disappointment in the recent progress against the Fed's inflation objective. As a result, rate volatility increased as 10-year yields moved through the upper end of the year-to-date range, ultimately reaching just over 4.7% in late April. These macro and market dynamics, coupled with higher seasonal supply, negatively impacted agency MBS performance early in the quarter. Market sentiment shifted, however, in May and June following weaker labor and inflation data. Notably, headline unemployment increased from 3.8% in the April nonfarm payroll release to 4% in June. Softer labor data and favorable CPI reports in both May and June allowed for a more balanced market focus on the Fed's dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices. As a result, treasury yields and agency MBS spreads partially retraced the negative performance by the end of the quarter. Despite elevated rate volatility, agency MBS traded in a much tighter range than they did during periods of stress seen last year. This is encouraging and is a result of many factors, including much stronger high-grade fixed income inflows year to date. The Fed's decision to start tapering QT, stability in bank deposits, and most importantly, a growing consensus firmly rooted in economic data that the Fed may begin normalizing rates over the next couple of months. During the second quarter, we added approximately $3 billion in agency MBS. And as a result, the investment portfolio increased to $66 billion as of June 30. Our TBA position declined by $3 billion as conventional rolls traded somewhat weaker, and we opportunistically added approximately $6 billion in specified pools, most of which in lower pay-up categories. Our Ginnie Mae TBA holdings in aggregate were largely unchanged as of June 30 as valuations remained attractive and roll implied financing rates continued to offer a significant advantage versus repo funding. Our hedge portfolio increased to $58.8 billion as of June 30, largely due to the increase in our asset portfolio. During the second quarter, we continued to gradually shift the hedge composition to a heavier allocation of swap-based hedges. As a result, swap-based hedges currently represent approximately 65% of our hedge portfolio on a duration dollars basis. Our swap-based hedges were a drag on our book value performance in the second quarter as swap spreads tightened 5 to 8 basis points across the yield curve. Lastly, as Peter discussed, the data-dependent nature of Fed policy will likely continue to create volatility in markets, but the earnings environment for agency MBS remains very favorable with historically wide spreads low levels of prepayment risk in liquid financing markets. I'll now turn the call over to Aaron to discuss the non-agency markets. Aaron Joshua Pas -- Senior Vice President, Non-Agency Portfolio Management Thank you, Chris. Credit spread performance in the second quarter was mixed with some areas widening marginally, while others were a bit firmer. Early in the quarter, spreads across credit products generally weakened as rates test at local highs. Subsequently, the backdrop of improving inflation ratings and a softer employment outlook, combined with relatively high issuance in the structured product market, led to the divergent performance of credit products during the quarter. As an indicator of credit spreads in Q2, the synthetic investment-grade and high-yield indices widened by approximately 3 and 14 basis points, respectively. This widening retraced just over half of the tightening we saw in the first quarter. Credit fundamentals remain consistent with past trends we have noted, showing a bifurcated consumer base. Lower-income households are currently stretched as reflected by increasing auto loan and credit card delinquency rates. Conversely, higher-income or wealthier households appear to be in reasonably good shape. Turning to our portfolio. Our portfolio of non-agency securities ended the quarter at $940 million, down roughly 10% from the prior quarter end. This decline was largely anticipated and driven primarily by our participation in the GSE tender offers for its outstanding credit risk transfer securities. Additionally, a significant portion of our CMBS holdings paid off or paid down in Q2. In both segments of the non-agency portfolio, we were able to opportunistically redeploy a portion of the freed-up capital. Lastly, the funding landscape for non-agency securities remains stable and relatively attractive by historical standards. With that, I'll hand the call back to Peter. Peter J. Federico -- President and Chief Operating Officer Thank you, Aaron. With that, we'll now open the call up to your questions. Questions & Answers: |